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 minimax estimation


Minimax Estimation of Conditional Moment Models

Neural Information Processing Systems

We develop an approach for estimating models described via conditional moment restrictions, with a prototypical application being non-parametric instrumental variable regression. We introduce a min-max criterion function, under which the estimation problem can be thought of as solving a zero-sum game between a modeler who is optimizing over the hypothesis space of the target model and an adversary who identifies violating moments over a test function space. We analyze the statistical estimation rate of the resulting estimator for arbitrary hypothesis spaces, with respect to an appropriate analogue of the mean squared error metric, for ill-posed inverse problems. We show that when the minimax criterion is regularized with a second moment penalty on the test function and the test function space is sufficiently rich, then the estimation rate scales with the critical radius of the hypothesis and test function spaces, a quantity which typically gives tight fast rates. Our main result follows from a novel localized Rademacher analysis of statistical learning problems defined via minimax objectives. We provide applications of our main results for several hypothesis spaces used in practice such as: reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces, high dimensional sparse linear functions, spaces defined via shape constraints, ensemble estimators such as random forests, and neural networks. For each of these applications we provide computationally efficient optimization methods for solving the corresponding minimax problem (e.g.


Minimax Estimation of Bandable Precision Matrices

Neural Information Processing Systems

The inverse covariance matrix provides considerable insight for understanding statistical models in the multivariate setting. In particular, when the distribution over variables is assumed to be multivariate normal, the sparsity pattern in the inverse covariance matrix, commonly referred to as the precision matrix, corresponds to the adjacency matrix representation of the Gauss-Markov graph, which encodes conditional independence statements between variables. Minimax results under the spectral norm have previously been established for covariance matrices, both sparse and banded, and for sparse precision matrices. We establish minimax estimation bounds for estimating banded precision matrices under the spectral norm. Our results greatly improve upon the existing bounds; in particular, we find that the minimax rate for estimating banded precision matrices matches that of estimating banded covariance matrices. The key insight in our analysis is that we are able to obtain barely-noisy estimates of $k \times k$ subblocks of the precision matrix by inverting slightly wider blocks of the empirical covariance matrix along the diagonal. Our theoretical results are complemented by experiments demonstrating the sharpness of our bounds.


Minimax Estimation of Neural Net Distance

Neural Information Processing Systems

An important class of distance metrics proposed for training generative adversarial networks (GANs) is the integral probability metric (IPM), in which the neural net distance captures the practical GAN training via two neural networks. This paper investigates the minimax estimation problem of the neural net distance based on samples drawn from the distributions. We develop the first known minimax lower bound on the estimation error of the neural net distance, and an upper bound tighter than an existing bound on the estimator error for the empirical neural net distance. Our lower and upper bounds match not only in the order of the sample size but also in terms of the norm of the parameter matrices of neural networks, which justifies the empirical neural net distance as a good approximation of the true neural net distance for training GANs in practice.


Minimax Estimation of Conditional Moment Models

Neural Information Processing Systems

We develop an approach for estimating models described via conditional moment restrictions, with a prototypical application being non-parametric instrumental variable regression. We introduce a min-max criterion function, under which the estimation problem can be thought of as solving a zero-sum game between a modeler who is optimizing over the hypothesis space of the target model and an adversary who identifies violating moments over a test function space. We analyze the statistical estimation rate of the resulting estimator for arbitrary hypothesis spaces, with respect to an appropriate analogue of the mean squared error metric, for ill-posed inverse problems. We show that when the minimax criterion is regularized with a second moment penalty on the test function and the test function space is sufficiently rich, then the estimation rate scales with the critical radius of the hypothesis and test function spaces, a quantity which typically gives tight fast rates. Our main result follows from a novel localized Rademacher analysis of statistical learning problems defined via minimax objectives.


Minimax Estimation of Maximum Mean Discrepancy with Radial Kernels

Neural Information Processing Systems

Maximum Mean Discrepancy (MMD) is a distance on the space of probability measures which has found numerous applications in machine learning and nonparametric testing. This distance is based on the notion of embedding probabilities in a reproducing kernel Hilbert space. In this paper, we present the first known lower bounds for the estimation of MMD based on finite samples. Our lower bounds hold for any radial universal kernel on \R d and match the existing upper bounds up to constants that depend only on the properties of the kernel. Using these lower bounds, we establish the minimax rate optimality of the empirical estimator and its U -statistic variant, which are usually employed in applications.


Review for NeurIPS paper: Minimax Estimation of Conditional Moment Models

Neural Information Processing Systems

Clarity: This paper is quite difficult to read, although that may be due to the fact that they are trying to cover a tremendous amount of material, and the fact that while I am familiar with the basics of the background knowledge needed to understand the paper, I am not an expert in some of those areas. In terms of reproducibility, the main body of the paper does not contain enough details to be reproducible, although many more details are provided in the supplementary material. The abstract makes some claims that are not explicitly mentioned later in the paper, e.g. that the estimation problem can be thought of as a zero-sum game between a modeler and an adversary. The article repeatedly refers to Theorem 6, but there is no Theorem 6 in the paper (just the supplementary material). The expression of instrumental variable models as a conditional moment restriction in equation (1), although used in econometrics is very different than the usual expression as conditional independence or graphical constraints on the model usually used in computer science and other fields.


Review for NeurIPS paper: Minimax Estimation of Conditional Moment Models

Neural Information Processing Systems

All the reviewers are in favor of accepting the paper. The rebuttal has answered all the questions. I would suggest revising the paper to address the questions and clarification that reviewers had.


Reviews: Minimax Estimation of Maximum Mean Discrepancy with Radial Kernels

Neural Information Processing Systems

The paper is very interesting as it provides the first known lower bounds for the minimax rate of estimation of the MMD distance between two distributions based on finite random samples, considering general radial kernels, which match with the known upper bounds up to constants. Theses bounds lead to a classical parametric rate of estimation, not depending on the dimension of the data. The text could however be more fluent, and easier to read for nonspecialists of the minimax estimation theory. For instance, the results are all expressed with respect to the minimax probabilities. Could the link with the more classical minimax risk be clearly written?


Minimax Estimation of Conditional Moment Models

Neural Information Processing Systems

We develop an approach for estimating models described via conditional moment restrictions, with a prototypical application being non-parametric instrumental variable regression. We introduce a min-max criterion function, under which the estimation problem can be thought of as solving a zero-sum game between a modeler who is optimizing over the hypothesis space of the target model and an adversary who identifies violating moments over a test function space. We analyze the statistical estimation rate of the resulting estimator for arbitrary hypothesis spaces, with respect to an appropriate analogue of the mean squared error metric, for ill-posed inverse problems. We show that when the minimax criterion is regularized with a second moment penalty on the test function and the test function space is sufficiently rich, then the estimation rate scales with the critical radius of the hypothesis and test function spaces, a quantity which typically gives tight fast rates. Our main result follows from a novel localized Rademacher analysis of statistical learning problems defined via minimax objectives.


Reviews: Minimax Estimation of Neural Net Distance

Neural Information Processing Systems

This paper considers the minimax estimation problem of neural net distance. The problem originates from the generative adversarial networks (GANs). In particular, the paper established the lower bound on the minimax estimation for neural net distance which seems to the first result of this kind. The authors then derived an upper bound on the estimation error which matches the minimax lower bound in terms of the order of sample size, and the norm of the parameter matrices. However, there is a gap of \sqrt{d} or \sqrt{d h} which remains as an open question.